COVID 19 Spread : Status Update India as of July 25th

There are over 16 million cases of COVID-19 in the world today with over 648445 deaths. In India there has been 1385494 ( covid19india.org) cases till 18th July with 32096 deaths. Here is a summary of the situation in India.

ALL INDIA LEVEL

Data Source: covid19india.org

There are over 307775 new cases in the week of 19th to 25th July with 35 states and Union territories impacted all across the country. The weekly growth rate marginally increased second week in a row. There has been a 29% increase in the total number of cases in the week. During this week there has been a 20% increase in the total number of deaths from 26828 in the week ending on 18th July to 32096 in the week ending on 25th July.

Data Source: covid19india.org

India has maintained a high recovery rate of 64% till July 25th. This is higher than the world recovery rate of 61%. In terms of death rate, India has lower death rate as compared to the world death rate of 4.0%.

Data Source: covid19india.org

STATE LEVEL

Data Source: covid19india.org

Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Delhi are the top three states and UTs in terms of the spread of COVID-19 cases. The three states together account for over 50% of all the cases in the country. Maharashtra alone contributes to 26% of all the cases in the country. Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh are the other two states in the top 5. Andhra Pradesh has over 95% weekly growth in the number of cases and is becoming the new hotspot of the country. Two districts in Andhra Pradesh, East Godavari and Kurnool are seeing a surge in number of cases. Karnataka, Kerala, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim are other states with over 50% growth rate this week.

Data Source: covid19india.org

Both in terms of number of cases and number of deaths per million, India has lesser number compared to the world average. However there are 5 states in India which has higher number of cases per million than even the world average and there are 2 states which have higher number of deaths per million than the world average. Among the states with over 10,000 cases, Delhi, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu not only have the highest number of cases per million but also highest number of deaths per million. Goa and Ladakh are the other two states/UTs apart from Maharashtra, Delhi and Tamil Nadu which have higher number of cases per million than world average. In terms of number of cases per million, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh have the lowest number of cases among states with over 10,000 cases. Kerala , Bihar and Assam has the lowest number of deaths per million among states with over 10,000 cases.

Data Source: covid19india.org

Delhi, Haryana and Telangana are the top three states among recovery rate while Karnataka, Kerala and Andhra Pradesh are the bottom three states among all the states which have over 10000 cases of COVID 19. Eleven states have higher recovery rate than the national average.

Data Source: covid19india.org

Gujarat is the only state in India which has a death rate higher than the world average. Gujarat, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh are the top three states in terms of death rate. Assam, Kerala and Bihar has the lowest death rate among all states with over 10000 cases of corona.

Let us deep dive on the top 3 states which account for over 50% of all cases in India.

Data Source: covid19india.org

The total number of new cases in Maharashtra has been over 65431 this week, the highest till date. There has been a decline in death rate since last four weeks It is important to note here that Maharashtra is among the bottom five states in terms of recovery rate among the states with more than 10000 cases and is among the top three among the death rate. For the state which accounts for over 26% of the total cases in the country, this is an alarming situation. Pune , Thane and Mumbai show the highest growth in number of cases among the districts.

Data Source: covid19india.org

The total number of new cases in Tamil Nadu has been over 41023 this week, the highest till date. There has been constant increase in death rate from the week of May, 23rd. It needs to be noted here that Tamil Nadu has one of the lowest death rates among the states with highest spread and its recovery rate is also decent. Chennai remains the hotspot in the state.

Data Source: covid19india.org

Delhi has seen 7949 cases this week. There has been a decline in growth in Delhi cases since last three weeks. The death rate also is seeing a marginal decline from last 3 weeks. Delhi had seen a increase in recovery rate as well. It has the highest recovery rate in the country today. This was becoming the hot spot till last week of June with growing number of cases. Now it is showing signs of recovery.

CITY LEVEL

Data Source: covid19india.org

Over 45% of all the cases in the country comes from 10 cities in the country with over 60% of all the deaths. Another 8.7% comes from the next 10 cities with around 8.5% of all the deaths. So only 20 cities put together contribute to over 55% of all the cases in the country. The share of rest of India has been rising over weeks suggesting more spread of the virus.

Data Source: covid19india.org

There are over 30 cities in India which have a higher number of cases per million compared to the world average of 2079. Fifteen cities have higher number of deaths per million than the world average of 78. Chennai, Mumbai and Thane are in the top 5 cities both in terms of number of cases per million and number of deaths per million. So utmost focus needs to given to control spread of the virus in these cities. The number of cases per million in Chennai, the top state is comparable to the 10th and 11th place country in the world in terms of number of cases per million. Similarly Mumbai which has the highest number of death per million in the country is comparable to the 9th place country in the world in terms of number of deaths per million.

Data Source: covid19india.org

Delhi has the highest number of cases followed by Mumbai. Both cities together account for 17.0% of the total cases in India. But 31% of all the deaths comes from these two cities. In the top 10 cities there are three cities from Maharashtra ( Mumbai, Thane, Pune), one each from Tamil Nadu (Chennai), Telangana ( Hyderabad), Gujarat ( Ahmedabad), Karnataka ( Bengaluru), West Bengal (Kolkata) and Assam (Kamrup M).

In terms of death rate, Ahmadabad has been leading with over 6.2% death rate. Mumbai which has the second highest number of cases also has a very high death rate of 5.6%. Kolkata is the third city which have a death rate. Both Ahmadabad and Mumbai have higher death rate than the world average.

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