COVID 19 Spread : Status Update India as of July 18th

There are over 14 million cases of COVID-19 in the world today with over 604903 deaths. In India there has been 1077719 ( covid19india.org) cases till 18th July with 26828 deaths. Here is a summary of the situation in India.

ALL INDIA LEVEL

Data Source: covid19india.org

There are over 227361 new cases in the week of 12th to 18th July with 35 states and Union territories impacted all across the country. The weekly growth rate marginally increased from last week. There has been a 27% increase in the total number of cases in the week. During this week there has been a 18% increase in the total number of deaths from 22687 in the week ending on 11th July to 26828 in the week ending on 18th July. So in this week the growth rate of number of deaths was lesser than that of the overall cases.

Data Source: covid19india.org

India has maintained a high recovery rate of 63% till July 18th. This is higher than the world recovery rate of 60%. In terms of death rate, India has lower death rate as compared to the world death rate of 4.2%.

Data Source: covid19india.org

STATE LEVEL

Data Source: covid19india.org

Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Delhi are the top three states and UTs in terms of the spread of COVID-19 cases. The three states together account for over 55% of all the cases in the country. Maharashtra alone contributes to 28% of all the cases in the country.Karnataka and Gujarat are the other two states in the top 5. Karnataka, Bihar, Kerala, Meghalaya and Sikkim have over 50% growth rate this week.

Data Source: covid19india.org

Both in terms of number of cases and number of deaths per million, India has lesser number compared to the world average. However there are 5 states in India which has higher number of cases per million than even the world average and there are 2 states which have higher number of deaths per million than the world average. Among the states with over 10,000 cases, Delhi, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu not only have the highest number of cases per million but also highest number of deaths per million. Goa and Ladakh are the other two states/UTs apart from Maharashtra, Delhi and Tamil Nadu which have higher number of cases per million than world average. In terms of number of cases per million, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh have the lowest number of cases among states with over 10,000 cases. Kerala , Bihar and Assam has the lowest number of deaths per million among states with over 10,000 cases.

Data Source: covid19india.org

Delhi, Haryana and Rajasthan are the top three states among recovery rate while Karnataka, Kerala and Andhra Pradesh are the bottom three states among all the states which have over 10000 cases of COVID 19. Nine states have higher recovery rate than the national average.

Data Source: covid19india.org

Gujarat is the only state in India which has a death rate higher than the world average. Gujarat, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh are the top three states in terms of death rate. Assam, Kerala and Odhisa has the lowest death rate among all states with over 10000 cases of corona.

Let us deep dive on the top 3 states which account for over 55% of all cases in India.

Data Source: covid19india.org

The total number of new cases in Maharashtra has been over 54337 this week, the highest till date. There has been a decline in death rate since last three weeks It is important to note here that Maharashtra is among the bottom five states in terms of recovery rate among the states with more than 10000 cases and is among the top three among the death rate. For the state which accounts for over 28% of the total cases in the country, this is an alarming situation. One silver lining is that the spread in Dharavi, Asia’s largest slum has been arrested and this has been lauded by World Health Organisation as well.

Data Source: covid19india.org

The total number of new cases in Tamil Nadu has been over 31488 this week, the highest till date. There has been marginal increase in death rate from the week of May, 23rd. It needs to be noted here that Tamil Nadu has one of the lowest death rates among the states with highest spread and its recovery rate is also decent.

Data Source: covid19india.org

Delhi has seen over 10000 cases this week. There has been a decline in growth in Delhi cases since last two weeks. The death rate also is seeing a marginal decline from last 3 weeks. Delhi had seen a increase in recovery rate as well. This was becoming the hot spot till last week of June with growing number of cases. Now it is showing signs of recovery.

CITY LEVEL

Data Source: covid19india.org

Over 51% of all the cases in the country comes from 10 cities in the country with over 64% of all the deaths. Another 8.4% comes from the next 10 cities with around 7.5% of all the deaths. So only 20 cities put together contribute to over 60% of all the cases in the country. The share of rest of India has been rising over weeks suggesting more spread of the virus.

Data Source: covid19india.org

There are over 25 cities in India which have a higher number of cases per million compared to the world average of 1851. Thirteen cities have higher number of deaths per million than the world average of 78. Chennai, Mumbai, Delhi and Thane are in the top 5 cities both in terms of number of cases per million and number of deaths per million. So utmost focus needs to given to control spread of the virus in these cities. The number of cases per million in Chennai, the top state is comparable to the 10th place country in the world in terms of number of cases per million. Similarly Mumbai which has the highest number of death per million in the country is comparable to the 9th place country in the world in terms of number of deaths per million.

Data Source: covid19india.org

Delhi has the highest number of cases followed by Mumbai. Both cities together account for 21.0% of the total cases in India. But 34% of all the deaths comes from these two cities. In the top 10 cities there are four cities from Maharashtra ( Mumbai, Thane, Pune and Palgarh), one each from Tamil Nadu (Chennai), Telangana ( Hyderabad), Gujarat ( Ahmedabad), Karnataka ( Bengaluru) and West Bengal (Kolkata).

In terms of death rate, Ahmadabad has been leading with over 6.4% death rate. Mumbai which has the second highest number of cases also has a very high death rate of 5.6%. Kolkata is the third city which have a death rate more than the world average.

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