There are over 12 million cases of COVID-19 in the world today with over 567653 deaths. In India there has been 850358 ( covid19india.org) cases till 27th June with 22687 deaths. Here is a summary of the situation in India.
ALL INDIA LEVEL ANALYSIS
There are over 177663 new cases in the week of 5th to 11th July with 35 states and Union territories impacted all across the country. The weekly growth rate marginally declinedfrom last week. There has been a 26% increase in the total number of cases in the week. During this week there has been a 18% increase in the total number of deaths from 19280 in the week ending on 4th July to 22687 in the week ending on 11th July. So in this week the growth rate of number of deaths was lesser than that of the overall cases.
India has maintained a high recovery rate of 63% till July 11th. This is higher than the world recovery rate of 58%. There has been a increase in recovery rate also this week. In terms of death rate, India has lower death rate as compared to the world death rate of 4.4%.
STATE LEVEL ANALYSIS
Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Delhi are the top three states and UTs in terms of the spread of COVID-19 cases. The three states together account for over 58% of all the cases in the country. Maharashtra alone contributes to 29% of all the cases in the country. Gujarat and Karnataka are the other two states in the top 5. Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya and Sikkim have over 50% growth rate this week.
Delhi, Rajasthan and Haryana are the top three states among recovery rate while Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Kerala are the bottom three states among all the states which have over 5000 cases of COVID 19. Thirteen states have higher recovery rate than the national average.
Gujarat is the only state in India which has a death rate higher than the world average. Gujarat, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh are the top three states in terms of death rate. Assam, Kerala and Odhisa has the lowest death rate among all states with over 5000 cases of corona.
Let us deep dive on the top 3 states which account for over 58% of all cases in India.
The total number of new cases in Maharashtra has been over 46000 this week, the highest till date. There has been a marginal decline in death rate since last three weeks It is important to note here that Maharashtra is among the bottom four states in terms of recovery rate among the states with more than 5000 cases and is among the top three among the death rate. For the state which accounts for over 29% of the total cases in the country, this is an alarming situation. One silver lining is that the spread in Dharavi, Asia’s largest slum has been arrested and this has been lauded by World Health Organisation as well.
The total number of new cases in Tamil Nadu has been over 27000 this week, the highest till date. There has been marginal increase in death rate from the week of May, 23rd. It needs to be noted here that Tamil Nadu has one of the lowest death rates among the states with highest spread and its recovery rate is also decent.
Delhi has seen over 13000 cases this week. There has been a decline in growth in Delhi cases since last week. The death rate also is seeing a marginal decline from last 2 weeks. Delhi had seen a increase in recovery rate as well. This was becoming the hot spot till last week of June with growing number of cases. Now it is showing signs of recovery.
CITY LEVEL ANALYSIS
Almost 54% of all the cases in the country comes from 10 cities in the country with over 65% of all the deaths. Another 8.2% comes from the next 10 cities with around 8% of all the deaths. So only 20 cities put together contribute to over 62% of all the cases in the country. The share of rest of India has been rising over weeks suggesting more spread of the virus.
Delhi has the highest number of cases followed by Mumbai. Both cities together account for 24.0% of the total cases in India. But 38% of all the deaths comes from these two cities. In the top 10 cities there are four cities from Maharashtra ( Mumbai, Thane, Pune and Palgarh), one each from Tamil Nadu (Chennai), Telangana ( Hyderabad), Gujarat ( Ahmedabad), Karnataka ( Bengaluru) and West Bengal (Kolkata).
In terms of death rate, Ahmadabad has been leading with over 6.6% death rate. Mumbai which has the second highest number of cases also has a very high death rate of 5.7%. Kolkata is the other city among the top 10 cities with over 5% death rate. All these cities have much higher death rate than even the world average. It needs to be noted here that the death numbers of Hyderabad might be incorrect as Telangana state has reported the death number only at a state level and not at a city level for a long period of time.